| 摘要: |
| 为探析我国对虾进口贸易的影响因素，进一步促进我国对虾进口贸易的发展，文章基于2009—2018年我国与11个贸易伙伴国之间的相关贸易数据，利用时变随机前沿引力模型，对我国对虾进口贸易的面板数据进行分析。研究结果表明：我国经济水平提高、我国人口数量增长和出口国为“一带一路”沿线国家是显著的推动因素，而出口国人口数量增长和双边距离增加是显著的阻碍因素，我国与贸易伙伴国之间的对虾进口贸易存在较大的贸易潜力。据此提出对策建议：实行多元化市场战略，明确差异化双边贸易发展细则；强化现代物流贸易体系，加强港口基础设施建设；推进“一带一路”建设，搭建国际化合作平台；创新进口贸易方式，支持跨境电商等新业态的发展。 |
| 关键词: 水产品 进口贸易 贸易潜力 贸易伙伴 贸易非效率项 |
| DOI： |
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| 基金项目:国家现代农业产业技术体系专项项目(CARS-48). |
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| The Influencing Factors and Trade Potential of Prawn Import Trade in China |
| YAN Mei,SUN Chen |
| School of Economics and Management，Shanghai Ocean University |
| Abstract: |
| In order to explore and analyze the influencing factors of China′s shrimp import trade and further promote the development of China′s shrimp import trade, this paper analyzed the panel data of China′s shrimp import trade based on the trade data between China and 11 trading partners from 2009 to 2018, using the stochastic frontier gravity model. The results showed that the raising of China′s economic aggregate, the increasing of China′s population and exporting countries along the Belt and Road were significant driving factors. The increasing of population in exporting countries and bilateral distance were significant obstacles. There was large trade potential between China and trading partners in shrimp import trade. Therefore, policy suggestions were put forward: implementing diversified market strategy and clarifying differentiated bilateral trade development rules; strengthening modern logistics trade system and port infrastructure construction; promoting the Belt and Road Initiative and building a platform for international cooperation; developing new forms of import trade and supporting the development of crossborder ecommerce and other new forms of business. |
| Key words: Aquatic product,Import trade,Trade potential,Trading partners,Trade inefficiency items |
