| 摘要: |
| 在全球地缘政治紧张、贸易摩擦加剧及突发事件频发的多重冲击背景下，提高沿海港口供 应链韧性对中国保障港口运营稳定、降低因中断导致的物流成本及增强港口竞争优势至关重要。 文章采用博弈论赋权法确定组合权重，并结合云模型理论建立沿海港口供应链韧性评价模型，选 取我国 10 个沿海港口为研究对象，对其供应链韧性进行综合测度。结果表明，沿海港口的韧性水平存在两极分化现象：上海港、宁波舟山港和青岛港的供应链韧性水平较为领先，而唐山港、福 州港和海口港等港口相对不足。基于分析结果，文章从强化示范效应、补齐能力短板、提升精细 化运营与资源配置效率等方面，为推进港口供应链韧性建设提出了相关建议。 |
| 关键词: 港口供应链 多重冲击 韧性评价 组合赋权 博弈论 |
| DOI：10.20016/j.cnki.hykfygl.20260723.002 |
| 投稿时间：2025-11-25修订日期：2026-04-28 |
| 基金项目:浙江省哲社规划课题“数字经济下长三角地区港口碳排放效率的格局、过程与空间效应研究”（25SSHZ027YB）；浙江省社科联研究课题“数字赋能港口物流业新质生产力发展的路径与对策研究”（2025N161）；“甬江社会科学青年人才”资助成果． |
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| Research on the Evaluation of Supply Chain Resilience in China’s Coastal Ports Under Multiple Shocks |
| YUAN Kebiao，CHEN Yuqi，LENG Zhaohua |
| School of Economics and Management，Ningbo University of Technology |
| Abstract: |
| Against the backdrop of intensifying global geopolitical tensions，escalating trade frictions，and the frequent occurrence of unexpected events，enhancing the resilience of coastal port supply chains is crucial for China to maintain stable port operations，reduce disruption-induced increases in logistics costs，and strengthen its competitive advantages．To evaluate the resilience of coastal port supply chains，this paper employs a game- theoretic weighting method to determine combined indicator weights and integrates the cloud model theory to construct a comprehensive resilience evaluation framework．Ten major coastal ports in China are selected as research subjects for empirical assessment．The results reveal a significant polarization in resilience levels： ports such as Shanghai，Ningbo-Zhoushan，and Qingdao exhibit higher supply chain resilience，whereas ports including Tangshan，Fuzhou, and Haikou demonstrate relatively lower resilience．Based on these findings，the paper proposes targeted recommendations for enhancing port supply chain resilience from the perspectives of strengthening demonstration effects，addressing capacity weaknesses，and improving refined operations and resource allocation efficiency． |
| Key words: Port supply chains Multiple shocks Resilience evaluation Combined weighting Game theory |
