| 摘要: |
| 为推进我国海洋经济和海洋生态环境的高质量和可持续发展，文章以浙江省防治海洋污染政策为例，基于2006—2017年我国48个沿海地区的面板数据，运用合成控制法定量评价陆海统筹防治海洋污染政策对宁波市海洋污染的影响，并对评价结果进行稳健性检验。研究结果表明：《浙江省近岸海域污染防治规划》围绕陆海统筹理念制定，2013年实施后有效缓解宁波市的海洋污染，促降效应的发挥同时存在时间上的滞后性和持续性，地区安慰剂和替换处理组的检验策略均证实该评价结果的稳健性。研究结果可为运用陆海统筹理念防治海洋污染提供重要的实证支持。 |
| 关键词: 陆海统筹 海洋污染 政策绩效 合成控制法 陆源污染 |
| DOI：10.20016/j.cnki.hykfygl.2022.02.001 |
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| 基金项目:浙江省哲学社会科学规划课题重大课题项目（19XXJC02ZD）；国家自然科学基金面上项目（71874092）；浙江省自然科学基金探索项目（LQ22G030002）. |
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| Whether the Land-sea Coordination Policy for Preventing and Controlling Marine Pollution is Effective? Evidence from Synthetic Control Method |
| HU Qiuguang,YU Xuan |
| Business School，Ningbo University;Donghai Strategic Research Academy，Ningbo University |
| Abstract: |
| In order to promote the high-quality and sustainable development of marine economy and marine ecological environment, this paper used Zhejiang Province′s marine pollution prevention and control policy as an example. Based on the panel data of 48 coastal cities in China from 2006 to 2017, the synthetic control method was used to quantitatively evaluate the impact of the land-sea coordination policy for preventing and controlling marine pollution in Ningbo, and to further test the robustness of the evaluation results. The results showed that the “Zhejiang Coastal Sea Pollution Prevention and Control Plan” was formulated around the concept of land-sea coordination, and after its implementation in 2013, it had effectively alleviated the marine pollution in Ningbo. The exertion of this effect had both time lag and persistence. The test strategies of the regional placebo and the replacement treatment group both confirmed the robustness of the evaluation results. The research results could provide important empirical support for the use of the concept of land-sea coordination to prevent and control marine pollution. |
| Key words: Land-sea coordination,Marine pollution,Policy effects,Synthetic control method,Land-based pollution |
