摘要: |
为促进我国沿海地区海洋经济社会和海洋生态环境协调可持续发展,文章采用成熟的海洋经济社会系统评价指标体系,综合运用环境库兹涅茨曲线、耦合协调度模型和逐步回归法,测算2006-2016年我国沿海地区海洋经济社会发展指数,分析海洋经济社会系统与近海水质间的拟合关系、弹性、耦合度和耦合协调度,并从系统、状态和指标3个层面解析影响近海水质的海洋经济社会因素。研究结果表明:2013年以前海洋经济社会发展与近海水质基本呈反向变化关系;近海水质的海洋经济社会系统弹性自2014年开始转为正值,但二者的耦合度和耦合协调度均较低;海洋社会发展对近海水质存在明显负向影响,海洋第三产业发展、海洋科技成果转化和海洋自然保护区建设有利于近海水质改善。建议严控陆源排污入海,提高海洋科技成果转化效率,优化海洋产业结构,持续加强海洋自然保护区建设,提升近海水质。 |
关键词: 海洋经济 海洋社会 近海水质 海洋生态环境 |
DOI: |
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基金项目:海南省基础与应用基础研究计划(自然科学领域)高层次人才项目(2019RC139);中国工程科技发展战略海南研究院咨询研究项目(19-HN-ZD-03-④). |
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The Influence of Marine Economic-social Development on Offshore Water in Coastal Areas of China |
LI Wei,HUANG Wenji,YUAN Bei |
Management School,Hainan University |
Abstract: |
The paper adopted a mature marine economic-social evaluation index system, calculated the marine economic-social development index from 2006 to 2016, and by using environmental Kuznets curve, coupling coordination degree model, stepwise regression method, analyzed the relationship between the marine economic-social system and offshore water, driving forces which affected offshore water quality were also analyzed from system, state and index three levels. The results showed that the relationship between marine economic-social development and offshore water was reversed before 2013. The elasticity of marine economic-social system for offshore water quality had turned positive since 2014, but the coupling degree and coupling coordination degree between them were low. Marine society development had an obvious negative impact on offshore water quality, but marine tertiary industry, transformation of marine scientific and technological achievements and marine nature reserves were helpful to offshore water. It was suggested that measures such as controlling land-based sewage discharge, improving the transformation efficiency of marine scientific and technological achievements, optimizing the structure of marine industry, intensifying marine nature reserves should be adopted to improve the offshore water quality. |
Key words: Marine economy,Marine society,Coastal water quality,Marine ecological environment |