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  • 曹加泰,管红波.三大海洋经济区的海洋产业结构变动对海洋经济增长的贡献研究[J].海洋开发与管理,2018,35(11):76-84    
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三大海洋经济区的海洋产业结构变动对海洋经济增长的贡献研究
曹加泰,管红波
上海海洋大学经济管理学院
摘要:
20世纪90年代后期以来,我国海洋产业发展迅速,海洋产业结构变动巨大,各地区海洋经济差异显著。文章基于多部门经济模型,对1996—2015年我国三大海洋经济区的海洋产业结构变迁对海洋经济增长的贡献能力进行研究,运用回归分析对海洋三次产业结构变动的贡献度进行测算。结果表明:1996—2005年海洋产业结构变动剧烈,2006—2015年趋于平稳。三大海洋经济区中环渤海地区海洋产业结构总体变动较大,长三角次之,珠三角最小。海洋三次产业结构变动对海洋经济增长具有显著正向推动作用,1996—2005年海洋第一产业贡献能力明显,2006—2015年海洋第三产业贡献能力最大,第二产业次之。
关键词:  海洋产业  结构变动  海洋经济增长  贡献  三大海洋经济区
DOI:
基金项目:国家海洋局中国海洋传统产业发展状况及问题研究(D-8005-17-0001B).
Research on the Contribution of Marine Industrial Structure Change to Marine Economic Growth in the Three Marine Economic Zones
CAO Jiatai,GUAN Hongbo
School of Economics and Management,Shanghai Ocean University
Abstract:
Since the late 1990s,marine industry in China has been developing rapidly.The structure of the marine industry has undergone tremendous changes.Marine economy in the coastal areas has notable differences.Based on the multi-sectoral economic model,this paper studied the contribution of marine industrial structure changes in the three major marine economic zones of our country to the growth of marine economy from 1996 to 2015,and used the regression analysis to estimate the contribution of marine industrial structure changes.The results showed that the marine industrial structure changed drastically from 1996 to 2005 and stabilized from 2006 to 2015.Among the three major marine economic zones,marine industrial structure in the Bohai Sea Rim generally fluctuated widely,the Yangtze River Delta was the next and the Pearl River Delta was the smallest.The changes in the three marine industrial structures had a significant positive impact on the growth of marine economy.From 1996 to 2005,the contribution of the marine primary industry was significant.From 2006 to 2015,the contribution of the third industries was the largest,followed by the secondary industry.
Key words:  Marine industry,Marine industrial structure change,Marine economic growth,Contribution,The three major marine economic zones